GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/12/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoDeportivo Metalurgico
50.0Attack57.6
86.7Defence78.8
80.0Form75.8
72.9Power70.3
0.78xG0.75
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