GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/4/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensores Glew are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 72.9 against 71.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores GlewWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoDefensores Glew
50.0Attack80.0
86.7Defence76.7
80.0Form66.7
72.9Power71.6
0.78xG0.94
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