SAT MorenovsBelgrano Zarate

SAT Moreno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.