GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/12/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoDDWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Belgrano ZarateLDDWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoBelgrano Zarate
50.0Attack25.0
86.7Defence80.6
80.0Form47.2
72.9Power53.5
0.82xG0.31
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