GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/9/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Barrancas UMET are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Barrancas UMETDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
SAT MorenoBarrancas UMET
50.0Attack35.9
86.7Defence82.1
80.0Form69.2
72.9Power64.6
0.79xG0.46
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