GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/31/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

78.2%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoDWDWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico PilarLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SAT MorenoAtletico Pilar
50.0Attack26.7
86.7Defence40.0
80.0Form16.7
72.9Power29.5
2.19xG0.31
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