GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/7/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

78.2%

Model confidence

78.2%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SAT MorenoLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico PilarDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoAtletico Pilar
50.0Attack26.7
86.7Defence40.0
80.0Form16.7
72.9Power29.5
2.19xG0.31
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