Sassuolo Wvs
Ternana W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Cup Women · 9/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sassuolo W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sassuolo W 2-0 Ternana W
Original prediction
Sassuolo W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.3% | 45.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 26.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sassuolo W
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Sassuolo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40