Sassuolo Wvs
Roma W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Cup Women · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sassuolo W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sassuolo W 1-7 Roma W
Original prediction
Sassuolo W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.94 | 22.9% | 37.0% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 26.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.7% | 36.2% | -16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sassuolo W
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Sassuolo W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60