Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Home
L
41
Full time
Padova

Padova

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Padova33%
Sassuolo33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Sassuolo
33%
Draw
33%
Padova
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sassuolo)
0.38
avg per match
xG against (Sassuolo)
1.19
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SassuoloSassuolo
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Sassuolo33%
Draw33%
Padova33%

Padova leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sassuolo head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while Padova arrive in unknown form.

Sassuolo have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Padova have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Sassuolo have generated 0.38 xG per game recently while conceding 1.19 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Sassuolo and Padova in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Sassuolo 3333%, Draw 3333%, Padova 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

L
vs Napoli
23 Aug 2025
02
xG 0.4

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sassuolo vs Padova?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Padova?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Padova?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more