Saselvs
Harksheide
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sasel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sasel are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Harksheide are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Sasel holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sasel
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Sasel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00