GGOALVIO

Sasel logoSaselvsHarksheide logoHarksheide

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sasel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sasel are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Harksheide are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Sasel holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sasel

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Sasel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SaselWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
HarksheideW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
SaselHarksheide
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
40.7Power36.5
2.05xG1.73
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