Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarıyer · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sarıyer 0-0 Bodrum FK, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarıyer 1-4 Bodrum FK
Original prediction
Sarıyer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.6% | 40.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.9% | 31.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Projected Score
Sarıyer 0–0 Bodrum FK
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Sarıyer
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Sarıyer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SarıyerDWDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bodrum FKLDWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SarıyerBodrum FK
44.4Attack25.9
63.0Defence70.4
55.6Form29.6
56.1Power42.6
0.94xG0.56