Sarıyervs
Bandırmaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarıyer 1-1 Bandırmaspor
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.2% | 34.4% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.6% | 29.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.2% | 35.7% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.20 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SarıyerLWWLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BandırmasporWLDDD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SarıyerBandırmaspor
44.4Attack61.1
61.1Defence83.3
55.6Form50.0
55.1Power61.3
1.00xG1.30