Sarıyervs
Ayvalikgucu
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarıyer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarıyer 1-0 Ayvalikgucu
Original prediction
Sarıyer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.7% | 42.0% | -22.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.7% | 25.7% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 6.21 | 14.7% | 32.2% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sarıyer
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Sarıyer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SarıyerLDLDW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AyvalikgucuDDWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SarıyerAyvalikgucu
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.55xG1.71