Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarriana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sarriana are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Lealtad are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarriana hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, while Sarriana holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sarriana
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Sarriana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00