Sarrabus Ogliastravs
Gelbison
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone G · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarrabus Ogliastra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarrabus Ogliastra 3-0 Gelbison
Original prediction
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.6% | 37.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 28.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.6% | 34.2% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Sarrabus Ogliastra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80