Sarpsborg 08 IIvs
Råde
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 8/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Råde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 3-4 (6%), 2-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarpsborg 08 II 3-2 Råde
Original prediction
Råde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.2% | 26.2% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.3% | 16.6% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.5% | 57.2% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.3–46%
- 3.2–56%
Predicted outcome
Råde
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Råde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sarpsborg 08 IILWDLL
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RådeWDWWL
GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sarpsborg 08 IIRåde
70.8Attack100.0
18.8Defence39.6
31.3Form66.7
37.9Power63.9
2.71xG4.50