Sarpsborg 08 FFvs
Valerenga
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Valerenga
Original prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.7% | 47.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.8% | 22.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 28.5% | 29.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20