GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 4/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tromso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tromso are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tromso

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFDLDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TromsoDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFTromso
39.6Attack66.7
56.3Defence64.6
45.8Form70.8
49.6Power65.9
0.86xG1.70
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