GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 4/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Start are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StartLDLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFStart
39.6Attack31.4
56.3Defence25.5
45.8Form19.6
49.6Power28.6
2.03xG0.71
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