Sarpsborg 08 FFvs
Rosenborg
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-3 Rosenborg
Original prediction
Rosenborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 39.1% | 32.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 25.0% | 23.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.9% | 43.8% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20