GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Molde are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molde

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MoldeWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
39.6Attack60.4
56.3Defence50.0
45.8Form50.0
49.6Power54.0
1.27xG1.48
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