Sarpsborg 08 FFvs
KFUM Oslo
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-3 KFUM Oslo
Original prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 60.0% | 54.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.6% | 24.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.35 | 17.4% | 21.5% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60