Sarpsborg 08 FF leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Sarpsborg 08 FF head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Sarpsborg Stadion in mixed form (W), while Ham-Kam arrive in mixed form (D). Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Ham-Kam over 1 games.

The model rates Sarpsborg 08 FF's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Ham-Kam defence, and Ham-Kam's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 Sarpsborg 08 FF backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Ham-Kam have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have generated 1.28 xG per game recently while conceding 0.63 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Ham-Kam have generated 0.99 xG per game recently while conceding 1.40 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Ham-Kam in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sarpsborg 08 FF to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4476%, Draw 2611%, Ham-Kam 2913%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Sarpsborg 08 FF

W

vs Viking

12 Jul 2026

1–0

xG 1.3

D

@ Valerenga

16 May 2026

2–2

Ham-Kam

D

@ Sandefjord

12 Jul 2026

2–2

xG 1.0

L

@ Fredrikstad

16 May 2026

1–2

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