GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarpsborg 08 FF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Eliteserien, while Sarpsborg 08 FF holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarpsborg 08 FFLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FredrikstadLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
39.6Attack35.4
56.3Defence43.8
45.8Form41.7
49.6Power42.9
1.47xG0.84
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