GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Formosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martin Formosa

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

16.1%

San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaDDDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
San Martin FormosaDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaSan Martin Formosa
26.3Attack57.9
49.1Defence63.2
31.6Form68.4
38.5Power64.4
0.58xG1.76
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