GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensores de Vilelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores de Vilelas hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while Defensores de Vilelas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensores de Vilelas

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

13.6%

Defensores de Vilelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de VilelasWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaDefensores de Vilelas
26.3Attack50.9
49.1Defence47.4
31.6Form45.6
38.5Power49.2
0.87xG1.48
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