GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Unidos hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

16.0%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca UnidosDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaBoca Unidos
24.1Attack42.6
48.1Defence51.9
27.8Form40.7
36.2Power46.3
0.73xG1.26
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