GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Unidos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Unidos hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Torneo Federal A, while Boca Unidos holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Unidos

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

14.9%

Boca Unidos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaDDDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Boca UnidosWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaBoca Unidos
26.3Attack42.6
49.1Defence51.9
31.6Form40.7
38.5Power46.3
0.80xG1.22
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