GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bartolomé Mitre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

33.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento ResistenciaDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bartolomé MitreWLDDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaBartolomé Mitre
26.3Attack25.9
49.1Defence83.3
31.6Form50.0
38.5Power55.2
0.36xG0.76
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