Sarmiento Res.vs
Unión Santa Fe Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unión Santa Fe Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.2% in the Reserve League, while Unión Santa Fe Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
23.2%
Unión Santa Fe Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20