Sarmiento Res.vs
Tigre Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarmiento Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sarmiento Res. 0-0 Tigre Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarmiento Res. 1-1 Tigre Res.
Original prediction
Sarmiento Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.5% | 41.0% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 29.9% | 31.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.6% | 27.9% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sarmiento Res. 0–0 Tigre Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sarmiento Res.
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Sarmiento Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00