Sarmiento Res.vs
San Lorenzo Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60