GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rosario Central Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

18.4%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento Res.WLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rosario Central Res.LLDDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento Res.Rosario Central Res.
28.8Attack47.0
59.1Defence62.1
36.4Form51.5
43.7Power54.7
0.68xG1.09
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