GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while River Plate Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate Res. hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Reserve League, while River Plate Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

River Plate Res.

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

22.2%

River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento Res.WDDLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
River Plate Res.LDWLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento Res.River Plate Res.
28.8Attack45.3
59.1Defence72.0
36.4Form57.3
43.7Power59.1
0.49xG1.06
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