Sarmiento Res.vs
Racing Club Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Club Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarmiento Res. 0-1 Racing Club Res.
Original prediction
Racing Club Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.4% | 32.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.2% | 30.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.4% | 37.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Racing Club Res.
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Racing Club Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80