Sarmiento Res.vs
Instituto Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.0% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
24.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00