Sarmiento Res.vs
Atlético Tucumán Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 2/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlético Tucumán Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Tucumán Res. hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20