GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Argentinos Juniors Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentinos Juniors Res. hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento Res.LWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Argentinos Juniors Res.LWDDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento Res.Argentinos Juniors Res.
28.8Attack39.4
59.1Defence69.7
36.4Form50.0
43.7Power55.1
0.54xG0.91
View match centre →