GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aldosivi Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Reserve League, while Sarmiento Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento Res.

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

20.3%

Sarmiento Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento Res.DWWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aldosivi Res.LDLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento Res.Aldosivi Res.
30.2Attack28.6
57.1Defence49.2
36.5Form30.2
43.5Power38.3
1.00xG0.66
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