Sarmiento Res.vs
Aldosivi Res.
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarmiento Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aldosivi Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Reserve League, while Sarmiento Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sarmiento Res.
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
20.3%
Sarmiento Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20