GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/26/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Santa Fe hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Union Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Santa Fe

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Union Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union Santa FeWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento JuninUnion Santa Fe
35.0Attack47.0
53.3Defence54.5
41.7Form42.4
45.9Power49.5
1.02xG1.22
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