GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 3/8/2023, 8:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento Junin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Junin hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Copa Argentina, while Sarmiento Junin holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento Junin

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Sarmiento Junin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninWDLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverLLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Sarmiento JuninChaco For Ever
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
1.34xG0.94
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