Sarmiento Juninvs
Belgrano Cordoba
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/13/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sarmiento Junin 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.7% | 32.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.4% | 38.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.94 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Belgrano Cordoba
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80