GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/4/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento Junin are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Barracas Central are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Barracas Central hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento JuninD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Barracas CentralLL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Sarmiento JuninBarracas Central
35.0Attack30.0
53.3Defence71.7
41.7Form50.0
45.9Power53.3
0.63xG0.79
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