Sarmiento Juninvs
Barracas Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sarmiento Junin 0-0 Barracas Central, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Barracas Central
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.6% | 35.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 32.3% | 33.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 27.1% | 31.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Barracas Central
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80