GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/17/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento de La Banda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tucuman Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sarmiento de La Banda holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento de La Banda

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

21.3%

Sarmiento de La Banda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento de La BandaLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tucuman CentralWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento de La BandaTucuman Central
33.3Attack31.6
70.4Defence50.9
50.0Form31.6
53.0Power40.0
1.10xG0.50
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