Sarmiento de La Bandavs
Sportivo Belgrano
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento de La Banda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and sportivo Belgrano hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 32.7% confidence, a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
32.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80