GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento de La Banda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sol de América are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sol de América hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

27.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento de La BandaDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sol de AméricaWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento de La BandaSol de América
35.3Attack38.9
68.6Defence70.4
51.0Form53.7
53.3Power56.1
0.67xG0.68
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