GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento de La Banda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sarmiento de La Banda holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento de La Banda

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

23.2%

Sarmiento de La Banda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento de La BandaLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento Resistencia
33.3Attack26.3
70.4Defence49.1
50.0Form31.6
53.0Power38.5
1.15xG0.41
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