Sarmiento de La Bandavs
San Martin Formosa
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarmiento de La Banda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Martin Formosa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20